In the fourth quarter of 2025, the Eurozone experienced a slowdown in manufacturing activity. This was reflected in a decline in the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). At the same time, GDP growth across the EU remained moderate. These macroeconomic conditions are directly influencing road transport flows, with exports to Eastern countries are declining and imports from Central Asia and Türkiye are increasing.
Decline in manufacturing activity toward the end of 2025 Falling Eurozone PMI, signaling weaker business conditions Moderate GDP growth across the EU Decrease in export volumes to Eastern countries Growth in imports from Central Asia and Türkiye
Fuel prices have remained largely stable, with diesel prices across Europe showing minimal change. However, oil prices are expected to decline in 2026, which may help ease cost pressures for transport companies. At the same time, demand for transport services continues to grow, while vehicle capacity remains constrained, potentially leading to upward pressure on freight rates.
The transport sector is seeing an increase in new company registrations, indicating continued interest in market entry. However, the number of bankruptcies is also rising, particularly in Poland and the Czech Republic, highlighting ongoing financial pressure within the industry. New truck registrations have declined overall, with growth limited to only a few countries.
Regulatory changes continue to reshape the road transport landscape. New rules for the transport of dangerous goods, the digitalization of permits and changes to road toll systems across Europe are increasing compliance requirements. In addition, the introduction of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and a higher minimum wage in Germany, are adding further cost and administrative pressures.
Market participants should focus on developing new logistics corridors, particularly in Central Asia, to support supply chain diversification. Adapting to regulatory changes through digitalization and employee training will be essential. Companies should prioritize route optimization and closely monitor fuel prices to manage costs effectively. In parallel, preparation for rising demand for environmentally friendly vehicles and compliance with expanding environmental zone regulations will be increasingly important.
About AsstrA
AsstrA-Associated Traffic AG is a multinational transportation and logistics service provider headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland. For 30 years, AsstrA has been providing its customers with a full range of global 3PL services via road, rail, air, and sea transportation. The service portfolio includes warehouse logistics, customs clearance, cargo insurance, support for import-export operations, and project logistics.
AsstrA’s team employs more than 1,000 people in countries across Europe, the CIS, Asia, and the USA. The quality of services is confirmed by ISO 9001, ISO 14001, ISO 45001, ISO 22000, ISO 28000, GDP, and SQAS certifications.
AsstrA-Associated Traffic AG is a member of leading trade associations including FIATA, WCA, and TAPA.
